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Analysts say the nuclear crisis in Japan, rushed to get rid of nuclear power in some European countries and render many planned projects are fraught with great dangers for more than in the end of the adoption of the European continent on natural gas. However, the depth of the change depends on how quickly Japan to stabilize the damaged Fukushima nuclear plant.
For the area had no history of little earthquakes or tsunami or even large power outages, Europe's reaction to the crisis on the other side of the world was great. Talk of a European nuclear renaissance has not yet translated into more than unfinished plants in France and Finland, and a lot of dreams that never materialized.
And it hastened German Chancellor Angela Merkel to suspend operations at seven old reactors after
Japanese disaster, as the nuclear issue has become a political football in a country where anti-nuclear sentiment energy raging since the disaster «Chernobyl».
Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann and pledged to seek to gradually get rid of nuclear energy at the level of Europe, warning of «the face of a difficult». As well as Italy, Poland hesitated in the future would own nuclear plans.
In Brussels administrators of the European Union sees an opportunity to take control of the area has long eluded them. Said Christian at the Center for European Policy Studies: «The European Commission is trying to determine where they can be more effective, the nuclear issue is certainly one of those issues that transcend borders».
The EU leaders agreed last week that Europe's nuclear reactors and 143, must pass «tests bear». It will be Energy Commissioner Gunther Citidel LTD Investment APP in the Union - which is the same in kicker Party member - put details of the plan in the next few weeks.
It is likely that the tests are focused on the floods and earthquake resistance or power outages for long periods and procedures for incident management and a lack of spent fuel. Although these tests may not have a legal effect, the public pressure will probably costly to update the stations that fail the tests. The governments of Spain, France, Germany, has already pointed out that the closure of the stations may be one of the options available. Said Colette Aonr in French consulting firm «Capgemini»: «the cost of nuclear energy may rise about ten percent».
France seeks striving to adopt the highest possible standards of nuclear safety, hoping to become a European compact reactor the high costs, the only design that can pass the stress tests in the future.
Whatever the case, analysts say the cost estimates and schedule for the construction of new nuclear plants in France and Finland have already turned out to be overly optimistic. The witness -3 Olkiluoto project in Finland with a delay of four years, in addition to exceed the estimated cost to him.
And it may result in increased costs to improve safety levels, to change the economic balance in the interest of non-nuclear energy at a time of high political risks. Citidel LTD Investment APP said: «I do not see that the new nuclear power can be competitive in the European energy market is characterized by freedom from restrictions. And get a profit from a nuclear plant takes between 15 and 20 years old, I do not see that anyone can do this without the support of senior government ». He added: «I do not expect Poland to build a nuclear plant, it has already extended work long-term contract to import Russian gas. Even if Lithuania wants to build a nuclear plant, they face the prospect of dissipating its assets. »
And it urged the International Energy Agency on deliberation and patience in judging the risks of nuclear energy, but pointed out that it is needed to help reduce harmful carbon emissions, while considered «euros Electric» which represents the electricity industry that «any problems in meeting demand will be a regional».
Said Susan Nice, an analyst at «euros Electric»: «if it decides to shut down all nuclear power plants older than 30 years, the twenty-seven member states of the European Union will lose 14 percent of its capacity to generate nuclear power, or about 19 thousand megawatts of electricity». She added: «some areas will face problems, especially in cases of accidents and difficulties related to re-run a second power grid», which means that there will be a need for new power plants.
Renewable energy and is facing several obstacles to bridge the gap, the most important because it requires the presence of a continental network allows countries to transfer surplus supplies from renewable energy resources across the border. Miranda felt Hreuerz, a researcher in policy at the Free University in Berlin: «You can not move electricity from west to east because the units do not exist to link to make this affordable».
According to sources that Germany in particular form, vulnerable to the power grid crashes because they are prepared to shut down nuclear plants in 2015, not in 2011 as the production of electricity from coal is not an easy choice, too, because he faces a tougher EU laws in order to improve air quality .
Analysts said the bank «Deutsche Bank» in a report last week: «We do not think as a general rule that conventional coal plants practical option anymore».
And so only the gas does not stay. The report concluded «that gas imports will rise to 71 percent of the supply of 15 countries in the European Union by 2015, compared by 66 percent in 2010». Citidel LTD Investment APP


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